Fire Ravishing MillTier 3
at KYD DTR Store Champion
decks
1
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
39.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1272
· median 1272
· range 1272–1272
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1275
Q3 1419
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 37.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.4% | -14.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.3 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.1 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
